NCAA high-seed upsets?
Have enjoyed picking high seed upsets (13+) in March Madness. At least 1 or 2 happen a year and usually at pretty attractive oddsI think UC Santa Barbara over Baylor is great value at ~ +450. UCSB is Top decile in shooting across various metrics (eFG%,TS%,2P%), plays at a slow pace (~300th in NCAA) and top 70 Offensive rating on CBB reference.
Baylor is 109 on KenPom defensive efficiency. Great underdog offense + weak favorite defense = Good setup
Risks: USCB haven't played any P5 teams this year, no superstar player (think a Max Abmas). Baylor is in the normal range of KenPom ranks for a 2 seed also.What does WSO think this year?** numbers might be slightly off3/18/23:
RIP. Going to take a break from gambling
F*** Baylor. I bet U of H blows it too. (Take a wild guess what school I went to and support...) I'd bet Kansas is one of the big schools that makes it to at least the final 4 since we're talking upsets which also means the expected competition.
Could always start a friendly free pool with the rest of WSO.
Aged like wine with respect to Virginia getting upset already
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